Just Stop Oil !!?? Part 3 - 10 Pathways to Post-Growth

Recorded July 30th, 2023

Description

In Part 3 of this Frankly Series, Nate (just after watching the movie Oppenheimer!) breaks down the logic of how we COULD arrive at a post-growth future. Our global situation is complex and not static - IF we somehow are able to shrink the global economic output (which would imply significantly less oil use) we first have to navigate ‘the 4 Horsemen of the 2020s’. Nate outlines 10 possible avenues for how this could happen, not as a prescription but as a description of various possible scenarios. The implications of the complexity of our global systems means a path to a world without our current dependence on growth will not be an easy one. Yet understanding these hurdles between our current situation and an eventual post-growth future is essential to shifting the initial conditions of such a global transformation towards ‘better-than-the-default’ outcomes. How do impending and converging risks narrow our options for ways to move towards a different global system - and can we manage to protect the things that make life worth living? 


Show Notes

00:00 - Just Stop Oil !? Part 1 + Part 2

00:07 - Oppenheimer

00:50 - Post-growth

01:20 - Reality Roundtable

03:10 - Mordor Economy

03:20 - The Great Simplification

06:16 - Carbon Pulse

06:22 - The monetary system and it’s claim on real resources

07:38 - We’ve increased debt more than GDP every year for the last last 50 years - now between 350-400% Debt to GDP

09:08 - Nate on Geopolitics and Resource conflicts

09:50 - 6 continent supply chain

09:59 - The average supermarket has 100,000 SKU products

10:14 - Comparative Advantage

10:49 - 85% of US medical ingredients are imported

11:10 - Social contract

11:38 - Dick Gephardt + TGS Episode

11:55 - Just Stop Oil

12:05 - Degrowth

12:15 - Renewables will not be able to fully support the growing global energy needs

12:44 - We are hitting an all time high of coal use

13:00 - Renewables are only adding to the grid, but not reducing totally energy use or carbon emissions

13:30 - ⅔ of our emissions are from fossil fuels

14:49 - Jevons Paradox

15:47 - Japan buying 50% of their own government bonds and stocks

17:36 - Untax.org

19:19 - Buckminster Fuller - We’re not going to change the existing situation unless we have something better to look forward to

22:22 - Spite Frankly


More: Global Debt Levels Put Economies And Countries At Risk | Global Finance Magazine (gfmag.com)

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Just Stop Oil !!?? Part 4 - The Intersection

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Just Stop Oil !!?? Part 2 - Oil is the Economy