Ayan Mahamoud: “East Africa and the Poly-Crisis”

Episode 39
September 28, 2022

(Conversation Recorded on September 23, 2022.)

On this episode, Nate talks with Ayan Mahamoud, a climate and resilience planner from Djibouti. They discuss the growing challenge the poly-crisis poses for the Global South and how climate change is already creating challenges for people (and animals) in East Africa.


In many ways, the discussions in our world are not only energy blind but also blind to accelerating threats to nations outside our own. What does managing and coordinating responses look like? What can we learn from communities already dealing with increasing poverty and climate impacts?

About Ayan Mahamoud

Ayan Mahamoud (PhD) is the Head of the Socioeconomic, Policy, Research and Marketing Department of ICPALD. She is an expert in Regional and Transboundary Polycrisis, Climate Security and Climate Fragility and their policy dimensions for sustained coordinated action. She contributes to the IGAD Climate Security Agenda and collaborates with institutions across the IGAD Member States, Divisions, Specialised Institutions, the UN Office of the Special Envoy, UNDP, CGIAR and various independent think tanks such as Adelphi, the Clingendael Institute. She also manages the USAID Programme Portfolio at IGAD and deals with issues related to Resilience/Climate Fragility Risks/Climate Adaptation/Dryland Development, Cross-Border Health, Countering Violent Extremism, and Conflict Prevention/Early Warning.

Show Notes & Links to Learn More

PDF Transcript

00:35 - Ayan’s Info

02:43 - IGAD

03:57 - Fifth fatal rainy season in the Horn of Africa

05:58 - How the Russian/Ukraine war is affecting food prices

06:30 - First shipments of grain leaving Turkey

07:10 - Population in the Horn of Africa

07:49 - Kenya imports as much grain as it produces

12:10 - Extreme temperatures affect livestock

13:57 - Desert Locust Invasion 2019

15:05 - The future is already here it's just not evenly distributed -William Gibson

15:36 - Pakistan floods

20:30 - The global north burned 90% of carbon but impacts are disproportionately felt by the global south

21:53 - Kenyan pastoral community displaced

22:48 - Ozone layer

25:15 - Widening wealth gap in countries in the global south

27:33 - COP 27 in Sharm el-Sheikh

27:59 - Djibouti has already past 1.5 degree increase

28:59 - Lack of peace in Congo

29:43 - Map of where rare earths are found

32:57 - China Belt and Road Initiative

35:18 - 1.25 dollars/day as a threshold for poverty

38:30 - Wangari Maathai

40:27 - Environmental ethic in the Quran

44:02 - Ebola outbreak in Uganda

44:25 - African countries handled COVID crisis better than much of the global north

54:28 - Martha’s Vineyard community supporting migrants

55:20 - Issues with supply chains during covid

56:20 - Ethiopian airlines the only airline that remained running with cargo

59:10 - African Economic Commission

1:00:02 - The value of Indigeous Knowledge

1:01:00 - Issa Community

1:08:25 - Pandemic Task Force was discarded just before COVID

1:09:50 - Youth unemployment a top driver of conflict

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Sebastian Heitmann: “Gigacorns”